By our quick unverified count, Hierank correctly picked 35 of 52 FCS games in Week 7. After mathematically considering every match-up & point, these have been the 25 best-performing teams in the lower division through the first seven weeks.
Quick Note on Ratings:
50.0 on Hierank’s scale is equal to the average performance among all teams in all performances to-date, in all of Division I.
Note that on this list, all but #11, #9, and the top 5 can be expected to play below average a substantial portion of the time.
#25 Illinois State, 52.9 (4-2)
Expected Performance | 35-70 Power
#24 South Dakota, 53.1 (3-3)
Expected Performance | 36-70 Power
#23 Idaho State, 53.2 (3-3)
Expected Performance | 33-74 Power
#22 North Carolina A&T, 53.2 (4-1)
Expected Performance | 40-67 Power
#21 Montana State, 53.2 (5-2)
Expected Performance | 37-69 Power
#20 Austin Peay, 53.5 (4-2)
Expected Performance | 37-70 Power
#19 Georgetown, 53.7 (4-2)
Expected Performance | 43-64 Power
#18 Central Arkansas, 54.1 (4-2)
Expected Performance | 40-69 Power
#17 Harvard, 54.6 (3-1)
Expected Performance | 45-64 Power
#16 San Diego, 55.0 (3-2)
Expected Performance | 32-78 Power
#15 Towson, 55.2 (3-3)
Expected Performance | 43-68 Power
#14 UT Martin, 55.4 (4-2)
Expected Performance | 36-75 Power
#13 UC Davis, 56.0 (3-4)
Expected Performance | 45-67 Power
#12 Youngstown St, 56.3 (4-2)
Expected Performance | 45-68 Power
#11 Villanova, 56.6 (6-1)
Expected Performance | 50-63 Power
#10 Yale, 57.2 (3-1)
Expected Performance | 47-67 Power
#9 Princeton, 57.5 (4-0)
Expected Performance | 55-59 Power
#8 Northern Iowa, 57.6 (3-3)
Expected Performance | 45-70 Power
#7 Furman, 58.2 (4-2)
Expected Performance | 45-71 Power
#6 Sacramento State, 58.6 (4-2)
Expected Performance | 44-73 Power
#5 South Dakota State, 61.3 (5-1)
Expected Performance | 50-72 Power
#4 James Madison, 65.7 (6-1)
Expected Performance | 54-78 Power
#3 Dartmouth, 68.5 (4-0)
Expected Performance | 56-81 Power

#2 Montana, 69.3 (5-1)
Expected Performance | 62-77 Power

#1 North Dakota State, 71.9 (6-0)
Expected Performance | 61-83 Power
