The Top 25 Performing Teams in the FBS, Week 7

If you remember how we broke down each position on the list last week, many of these would still qualify as Not There Yet or Fluky Garbage.

FBS Week 6 Pick Outcomes

Yet still, Hierank’s straight ranking formula correctly picked 32 of 48 FBS match-ups (67%) in Week 6, and 75 of 104 (72%) Division I-A & I-AA match-ups overall.

While imbalanced match-ups are quite easy to pick W/L by mid-season (and those moneyline payoffs are small), I have witnessed numerous Hierank-called ‘upsets’, and ALSO observed that a large portion of games end with scores relative to the Hierank Power ranges reported (a note for straight betters considering a given spread).

Of course this isn’t perfect, and flukes will happen always, no matter what, but we assert that with selective choosing, any enterprising picker with…

HUMAN KNOWLEDGE + HIERANK KNOWLEDGE

…is going to have a good time. But enough braggadocio. Rankings!


#25 UCF, 71.6 (4-2)

Expected Performance | 54-89 Power
AP Poll | #34
Coaches Poll | #34
Last Week Hierank | #34 (+9)

#24 Memphis, 71.8 (5-0)

Expected Performance | 60-83 Power
AP Poll | #23
Coaches Poll | #23
Last Week Hierank | #28 (+4)

#23 Oklahoma State, 71.8 (4-2)

Expected Performance | 59-85 Power
AP Poll | NR
Coaches Poll | NR
Last Week Hierank | #11 (-12)

#22 USC, 72.0 (3-2)

Expected Performance | 53-91 Power
AP Poll | #35
Coaches Poll | NR
Last Week Hierank | #39 (+17)

#21 Texas Tech, 72.0 (3-2)

Expected Performance | 54-90 Power
AP Poll | NR
Coaches Poll | NR
Last Week Hierank | 50+

#20 Michigan State, 72.9 (4-2)

Expected Performance | 65-81 Power
AP Poll | #32
Coaches Poll | #29
Last Week Hierank | #14 (-6)

#19 Arizona, 73.1 (4-1)

Expected Performance | 57-89 Power
AP Poll | #33
Coaches Poll | #32
Last Week Hierank | 50+

#18 Cal, 73.3 (4-2)

Expected Performance | 56-90 Power
AP Poll | #31
Coaches Poll | #31
Last Week Hierank | #21 (+3)

#17 Clemson, 73.9 (5-0)

Expected Performance | 63-84 Power
AP Poll | #2
Coaches Poll | #2
Last Week Hierank | #20 (+3)

#16 Texas, 74.8 (4-1)

Expected Performance | 63-87 Power
AP Poll | #11
Coaches Poll | #11
Last Week Hierank | #8 (-8)

#15 Arizona State, 75.1 (4-1)

Expected Performance | 62-89 Power
AP Poll | #18
Coaches Poll | #24
Last Week Hierank | #2 (-13)

#14 LSU, 75.4 (5-0)

Expected Performance | 54-96 Power
AP Poll | #5
Coaches Poll | #6
Last Week Hierank | #22 (+8)

#13 Notre Dame, 75.4 (4-1)

Expected Performance | 71-80 Power
AP Poll | #9
Coaches Poll | #10
Last Week Hierank | #17 (+4)

#12 Hawai’i, 75.8 (4-1)

Expected Performance | 58-94 Power
AP Poll | NR
Coaches Poll | #32
Last Week Hierank | #26 (+14)

#11 Penn State, 76.0 (5-0)

Expected Performance | 59-93 Power
AP Poll | #10
Coaches Poll | #9
Last Week Hierank | #18 (+7)

#10 Missouri, 76.0 (4-1)

Expected Performance | 64-88 Power
AP Poll | #27
Coaches Poll | NR
Last Week Hierank | #13 (+3)

#9 Georgia, 77.0 (5-0)

Expected Performance | 64-90 Power
AP Poll | #4
Coaches Poll | #3
Last Week Hierank | #7 (-2)

#8 Oklahoma, 77.4 (5-0)

Expected Performance | 63-91 Power
AP Poll | #6
Coaches Poll | #5
Last Week Hierank | #23 (+15)

#7 Alabama, 79.3 (5-0)

Expected Performance | 67-91 Power
AP Poll | #1
Coaches Poll | #1
Last Week Hierank | #9 (+2)

#6 Washington, 80.7 (4-2)

Expected Performance | 55-107 Power
AP Poll | #29
Coaches Poll | #27
Last Week Hierank | #4 (-2)

#5 Wisconsin, 80.9 (5-0)

Expected Performance | 67-95 Power
AP Poll | #8
Coaches Poll | #8
Last Week Hierank | #16 (+11)

#4 Florida, 86.1 (6-0)

Expected Performance | 67-105 Power
AP Poll | #7
Coaches Poll | #7
Last Week Hierank | #5 (+1)

#3 Auburn, 87.0 (5-1)

Expected Performance | 69-105 Power
AP Poll | #12
Coaches Poll | #12
Last Week Hierank | #3 (no change)

#2 Oregon, 87.8 (4-1)

Expected Performance | 79-97 Power
AP Poll | #13
Coaches Poll | #13
Last Week Hierank | #10 (+8)

#1 Ohio State, 88.0 (6-0)

Expected Performance | 77-99 Power
AP Poll | #3
Coaches Poll | #4
Last Week Hierank | #1 (no change)

The formula is not perfectly matured yet, but it shakes closer to true for every outcome that is added.

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