As Bowl Season 2019 heats up, so is Hierank! This is our second ‘Go!’ at making bowl predictions; our first time doing so publicly.

Last year, we managed to clear 96% of the field in ESPN’s Capital One Bowl Mania, ranking around 34,000 out of over 850,000 entrants with 25 correct selections…but still landing second in our pool. ūüôĀ

This year, Hierank reveals a good variety of too-close-to-call matchups, obvious calls, possible [real] upsets, and likely “upsets” too.

The method used to pick games last year & below is our ‘Quick Pick’ method, where we choose by Hierank Power¬†alone, and no other factors.

Given more technical-capability – smarter algorithmic choices like giving more weight to shared opponents, late-season games, & similar playing conditions could be used to improve future accuracy.

Each team’s Volatility & Normal Power¬†signal the level of certainty that can be applied to each pick too, aside from their difference in Power.

If these terms – Hierank Power, Volatility, Normal Power – are meaningless to you, take a quick look at the Hierank basics.

And you likely haven’t browsed the actual ranking prototype either. You’ll want to view that eventually, but on a tablet or desktop.

For those already wondering, Hierank’s current form doesn’t directly address the spread, but its methodology does have the ability to calculate expected spreads, with more computing power & time to make that a focus.

Even without an “expected spreads” cheat-sheet – between the perfectly quantified whole-season ratings below, insights deeper¬†in the prototype, offline scouting news & intel, and a little luck – those who apply this knowledge this year will be feared by friends & Vegas alike.

Happy picking!
Hierank

p.s. If time allows before games start, greater analysis will be added to major contests. A post-bowl review will also be published. Without further ado…


Note: All rankings shown below refer to Hierank’s own FBS Rankings, and not those of the selection committee.

College Football Playoff

Saturday, Dec. 29

Semifinal: Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic

(13-0) #2 Clemson 94.7 vs (12-0) #5 Notre Dame 86.0

Semifinal: Capital One Orange Bowl

 (13-0) #1 Alabama 98.1 vs (12-1) #4 Oklahoma 87.7

Monday, Jan. 7

National Championship Presented by AT&T

Cotton Bowl Winner vs. Orange Bowl Winner


Bowl Schedule

Saturday, Dec. 15

Air Force Reserve Celebration Bowl

(9-2) FCS#40 North Carolina A&T 48.9 vs (9-3) FCS#39 Alcorn State 48.9

New Mexico Bowl

(9-3) #75 North Texas 57.7 vs (10-2) #44 Utah State 65.5

AutoNation Cure Bowl

(6-6) #87 Tulane 54.7 vs (7-6) #84 Louisiana 54.8

Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl

(11-2) #24 Fresno State 73.0 vs (7-5) #49 Arizona State 64.3

Raycom Media Camellia Bowl

(9-3) #54 Georgia Southern 61.5 vs (7-5) #68 Eastern Michigan 59.9

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl

(8-4) #71 Middle Tennessee 58.7 vs (10-2) #33 Appalachian State 69.5

Tuesday, Dec. 18

Cheribundi Boca Raton Bowl

(10-3) #63 UAB 60.5 vs (8-5) #78 Northern Illinois 56.2

Wednesday, Dec. 19

DXL Frisco Bowl

(7-5) #81 San Diego State 56.1 vs (8-4) #64 Ohio 60.4

Thursday, Dec. 20

Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl

(8-4) #74 Marshall 58.1 vs (7-5) #91 South Florida 52.9

Friday, Dec. 21

Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl

(8-4) #89 FIU 53.5 vs (7-5) #73 Toledo 58.3

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

(7-5) #94 Western Michigan 51.5 vs (6-6) #62 BYU 60.7

Saturday, Dec. 22

Jared Birmingham Bowl

(8-5) #61 Memphis 60.8 vs (6-6) #57 Wake Forest 61.1

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

(8-4) #77 Houston 56.8 vs (9-2) #31 Army 70.5

Dollar General Bowl

(10-3) #67 Buffalo 60.0 vs (9-3) #65 Troy 60.3

SoFi Hawai’i Bowl

(7-5) #95 Louisiana Tech 50.4 vs (8-5) #96 Hawaii 50.2

Wednesday, Dec. 26

SERVPRO First Responder Bowl

(7-5) #42 Boston College 66.4 vs (10-3) #34 Boise State 69.1

Quick Lane Bowl

(6-6) #51 Minnesota 63.2 vs (7-5) #41 Georgia Tech 67.0

Cheez-It Bowl

(7-5) #56 California 61.3 vs (6-6) #38 TCU 67.7

Thursday, Dec. 27

Walk-On’s Independence Bowl

(8-4) #50 Temple 63.6 vs (7-5) #47 Duke 64.5

New Era Pinstripe Bowl

(7-5) #40 Miami 67.0 vs (7-5) #48 Wisconsin 64.4

Academy Sports + Outdoors Texas Bowl

(6-6) #55 Baylor 61.4 vs (6-6) #45 Vanderbilt 65.2

Friday, Dec. 28

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl

(6-6) #29 Purdue 71.0 vs (7-5) #25 Auburn 72.1

Camping World Bowl

(8-3) #9 West Virginia 79.6 vs (9-3) #26 Syracuse 71.8

Valero Alamo Bowl

(8-4) #23 Iowa State 73.3 vs (10-2) #10 Washington State 78.5

Saturday, Dec. 29

Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl

(9-3) #16 Florida 76.5 vs (10-2) #6 Michigan 85.2

Belk Bowl

(7-5) #27 South Carolina 71.2 vs. (7-5) #52 Virginia 62.7

NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl

(8-4) #69 Arkansas State 59.3 vs (7-5) #90 Nevada 53.2

Monday, Dec. 31

Military Bowl Presented by Northrop Grumman

(10-2) #28 Cincinnati 71.0 vs (6-6) #70 Virginia Tech 59.1

Hyundai Sun Bowl

(8-4) #20 Stanford 74.4 vs (7-6) #35 Pittsburgh 68.0

Redbox Bowl

(7-5) #39 Michigan State 67.2 vs (8-4) #36 Oregon 67.9

AutoZone Liberty Bowl

(8-4) #11 Missouri 77.9 vs (6-6) #37 Oklahoma State 67.7

San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl

(8-5) #32 Northwestern 69.7 vs (9-4) #17 Utah 76.2

TaxSlayer Gator Bowl

(9-3) #30 NC State 70.6 vs (8-4) #21 Texas A&M 74.4

Tuesday, Jan. 1

Outback Bowl

(8-4) #19 Mississippi State 75.0 vs (8-4) #13 Iowa 77.1

VRBO Citrus Bowl

(9-3) #22 Kentucky 73.4 vs (9-3) #12 Penn State 77.5

PlayStation Fiesta Bowl

(9-3) #14 LSU 77.1 vs (12-0) #15 UCF 76.9

Rose Bowl Game Presented by Northwestern Mutual

(10-3) #8 Washington 80.7 vs (12-1) #7 Ohio State 84.6

Allstate Sugar Bowl

(9-4) #18 Texas 75.4 vs (11-2) #3 Georgia 89.8